BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alfred St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 195 Conference: Eastern Collegiate Football Conference Record: (3-3) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   43.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    W    50.99  17  14    3 177 (  3-  7) Misericordia            7.67     -4.67                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    L    43.83  17  30    3 140 (  3-  7) Rochester               0.51    -13.51                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L    48.95  17  23    3 159 (  5-  6) Husson                  5.63    -11.63                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W    49.76  42  33    3 213 (  3-  7) Defiance                6.45      2.55                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    W *  49.99  30  25    3 197 (  5-  4) Anna Maria              6.67     -1.67                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W *  43.94  42  33    3 216 (  3-  7) Keystone                0.62      8.38                      
  7 10/22/2022 Home    L *  24.61  35  36    3 228 (  1-  9) Dean                  -18.71     17.71                      
  8 10/29/2022 Away    L *  27.16  13  37    3 181 (  5-  5) Castleton             -16.16     -7.84                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    L *  28.72  22  36    3 187 (  7-  3) Gallaudet             -14.60      0.60                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    W *  65.24  48  21    3 219 (  3-  7) SUNY-Maritime          21.92      5.08                      
      Averages              43.32  28.3 28.8

Best game:   65.24 = 27 point win over SUNY-Maritime
Worst game:  24.61 = 1 point loss to Dean
Team stdev:  12.83